Rodina Moskva vs Akhmat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arena Khimki, Khimki
The Footlab AI model makes Rodina Moskva the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Akhmat. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rodina Moskva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Akhmat?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Rodina Moskva (1,853) and Akhmat (1,856).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rodina Moskva vs Akhmat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rodina Moskva
5-4-1- 7G. Onugkha
- 5A. Egorychev
- 17S. Bakaev
- 10Y. Reyna
- 18M. Abdusalamov
- 20D. Machado
- 2Igor Silva
- 50Rodrigo Becão
- 38L. Musaev
- 75M. Nadé
- 13S. Volkov
Akhmat
4-2-3-1- 13M. Konaté
- 7L. Sadulaev
- 17Egas Cacintura
- 11Ismael Silva Lima
- 4T. Ibishev
- 20M. Samorodov
- 5K. Cake
- 6K. Sidibé
- 95A. Adamov
- 8M. Bogosavac
- 1V. Ulyanov
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodina Moskva have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Akhmat have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Rodina Moskva score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Akhmat score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Akhmat | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodina Moskva sit 12th in Premier League (12 points from 13 matches) and Akhmat sit 15th (11 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rodina Moskva | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
| 15 | Akhmat | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Rodina Moskva vs Akhmat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodina Moskva vs Akhmat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rodina Moskva the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Akhmat.
- Where and when is Rodina Moskva vs Akhmat played?
- Rodina Moskva vs Akhmat is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Khimki, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.