Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Akhmat Arena, Groznyi
The Footlab model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Akhmat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar?
FC Krasnodar starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (2,155 vs 1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akhmat have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; FC Krasnodar have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Akhmat win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Krasnodar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Krasnodar 1-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Krasnodar 1-1 Akhmat | Cup |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Akhmat 0-1 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | FC Krasnodar 2-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | FC Krasnodar 3-1 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | FC Krasnodar 1-2 Akhmat | Cup |
Last archived meeting: FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Akhmat score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Krasnodar score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| FC Krasnodar | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akhmat sit 10th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and FC Krasnodar sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Krasnodar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Akhmat | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar?
- The Footlab model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Akhmat.
- Where and when is Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar played?
- Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Akhmat Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.