Roosendaal vs Zwaluwen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Atik Stadion, Roosendaal
The Footlab model makes Roosendaal the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Zwaluwen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roosendaal vs Zwaluwen?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Roosendaal (1,760) and Zwaluwen (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roosendaal have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Zwaluwen have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Lisse(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groene Ster(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 10, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | ASWH(away) | 6-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 9, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Roosendaal win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Zwaluwen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Zwaluwen 1-2 Roosendaal | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Roosendaal 0-0 Zwaluwen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Zwaluwen vs Roosendaal on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Roosendaal score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zwaluwen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roosendaal | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Zwaluwen | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roosendaal sit 7th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Zwaluwen sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Roosendaal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Zwaluwen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roosendaal vs Zwaluwen?
- The Footlab model makes Roosendaal the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Zwaluwen.
- Where and when is Roosendaal vs Zwaluwen played?
- Roosendaal vs Zwaluwen is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Atik Stadion, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.