Rosario Central vs Penarol: result 1-0 and analysis
CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on April 4, 2024 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe
Full time
What was the result of Rosario Central vs Penarol?
Rosario Central won 1-0 on April 4, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 45′C. QuintanaRosario Central
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rosario Central have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Penarol have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | Barracas Central(home) | 1-2 | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Argentinos JRS(away) | 0-3 | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Douglas Haig(home) | 1-1 | Copa Argentina |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 1-0 | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Velez Sarsfield(away) | 0-1 | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Cerro(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Miramar(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Rosario Central score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Penarol | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rosario Central sit 2nd in CONMEBOL Libertadores (13 points from 6 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rosario Central | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy