Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab AI model makes Verl the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Verl wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Verl (1,981) and Rot-Weiß Essen (2,026).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Verl
4-2-3-1- 25T. Heike
- 21M. Clausen
- 20A. Leipold
- 8D. Waidner
- 30A. Mešanović
- 6J. Eze
- 19N. Kijewski
- 5Nick Seidel
- 34Janne Berner
- 22N. König
- 1T. Schlieck
Rot-Weiß Essen
4-2-3-1- 20M. Janssen
- 22J. Sietan
- 17S. Telalović
- 10M. Obuz
- 11Noah Pesch
- 18D. Abiama
- 15Ben Vincent Hüning
- 19F. Bouebari
- 23J. Ríos Alonso
- 37J. Hofmann
- 1J. Golz
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Verl wins, 2 draws, 1 Rot-Weiß Essen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Verl 0-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Verl 3-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-3 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Verl 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Rot-Weiß Essen 0-5 Verl | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Verl score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl sit 10th in 3. Liga (12 points from 9 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 3rd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 10 | Verl | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Verl the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
- Where and when is Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
- Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Nov 21, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsWürzburger Kickers
- Nov 21, 2026MSV DuisburgvsHansa Rostock
- Nov 21, 2026Fortuna KölnvsSV Meppen
- Nov 21, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsSV Wehen
- Nov 21, 2026Alemannia AachenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Nov 21, 2026HavelsevsFC Viktoria Köln
- Nov 21, 2026Hoffenheim IIvsPreußen Münster