Where and when is Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?

Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl

Verl

Rot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Verl (1,971) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,976).

Verl win58 %

Draw19 %

Rot-Weiß Essen win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Verl
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Hamburger SV(home)	0-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	2-4	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(away)	1-4	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026	Bremer SV(home)	6-1	Friendlies Clubs

Rot-Weiß Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Havelse(home)	1-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	2-5	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Verl win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Verl	3. Liga
Dec 13, 2025	Verl 0-0 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga
Mar 28, 2025	Verl 3-0 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga
Oct 23, 2024	Rot-Weiß Essen 1-3 Verl	3. Liga
Mar 10, 2024	Verl 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga
Oct 7, 2023	Rot-Weiß Essen 0-5 Verl	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Verl	1.5	1.7	4	6/15	10/15
Rot-Weiß Essen	2.1	2.1	5	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Rot-Weiß Essen	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
19	Verl	2	0	0	2	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen?: The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?: Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.