Rotherham vs Grimsby: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Rotherham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grimsby wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotherham vs Grimsby?
Grimsby starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,710).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rotherham vs Grimsby
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rotherham
4-2-3-1- 10P. Mullin
- 4J. Austerfield
- 6O. Ashley
- 24J. Buyabu
- 8K. Spence
- 28Brandon Ashley Cover
- 12D. Hall
- 14Sonny Aljofree
- 27D. Iorfa
- 5K. Ngwenya
- 13J. Eyestone
Grimsby
4-1-4-1- 39A. Cook
- 4K. Green
- 30C. Vernam
- 28F. Cartwright
- 14J. Amaluzor
- 15G. Turi
- 3J. Sweeney
- 5H. Rodgers
- 17C. McJannet
- 2M. Kacurri
- 31C. Pym
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotherham have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Grimsby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Rotherham win, 1 draw, 0 Grimsby wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2024 | Grimsby 2-2 Rotherham | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Grimsby 0-1 Rotherham | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Rotherham score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotherham | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotherham sit 20th in League Two (10 points from 10 matches) and Grimsby sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
A question about Rotherham vs Grimsby?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotherham vs Grimsby?
- The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Rotherham.
- Where and when is Rotherham vs Grimsby played?
- Rotherham vs Grimsby is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AESSEAL New York Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.