Shrewsbury vs Chesterfield: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire
The Footlab model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Chesterfield?
Chesterfield starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chesterfield have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shrewsbury win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chesterfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Chesterfield 2-3 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Shrewsbury 0-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Chesterfield 1-1 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Shrewsbury 2-1 Chesterfield | League One |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Chesterfield 7-1 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Aug 18, 2015 | Shrewsbury 1-2 Chesterfield | League One |
Last archived meeting: Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shrewsbury score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chesterfield score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Chesterfield | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shrewsbury sit 24th in League Two (0 points from 2 matches) and Chesterfield sit 16th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shrewsbury vs Chesterfield?
- The Footlab model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Shrewsbury vs Chesterfield played?
- Shrewsbury vs Chesterfield is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Croud Meadow, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.