Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Cheltenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham?
On Elo ratings, Bristol Rovers has 1,763 points and Cheltenham 1,723.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1- 29F. Cavegn
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 21R. Smallwood
- 22Keenan Gough
- 10B. Kamwa
- 2T. James
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 14B. Purrington
- 1Brad Young
Cheltenham
4-2-3-1- 18A. Weimann
- 26J. Shipley
- 19J. Evans
- 8C. McCann
- 33F. Willcox
- 7B. Stevenson
- 25P. Sweeney
- 6J. Wilson
- 17S. McWilliams
- 3J. Tomkinson
- 23W. Stanway
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Cheltenham have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bristol Rovers wins, 1 draw, 1 Cheltenham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 4-0 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Cheltenham 1-0 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Cheltenham 0-1 Bristol Rovers | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Cheltenham 1-3 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Bristol Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham | League One |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Bristol Rovers 4-1 Cheltenham | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol Rovers score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cheltenham score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Cheltenham | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol Rovers sit 9th in League Two (15 points from 11 matches) and Cheltenham sit 8th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
A question about Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Cheltenham.
- Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham played?
- Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.