Swindon Town vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swindon Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,936 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Newport County?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Swindon Town (1,697) and Newport County (1,775).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swindon Town vs Newport County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swindon Town
3-4-2-1- 23A. Drinan
- 25J. Thomson
- 2M. Clark
- 24M. Virtue-Thick
- 19J. Snowdon
- 26D. Butler
- 7T. Nichols
- 6J. Ball
- 5S. Negru
- 34B. Kirkman
- 1C. Ripley
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 28K. Etete
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 20Y. Bamba
- 8M. Smith
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 3T. Davies
- 1J. Wright
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 09:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Newport County have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Swindon Town wins, 0 draws, 2 Newport County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Swindon Town 0-2 Newport County | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Swindon Town 2-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Newport County 0-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Newport County 1-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Swindon Town 4-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Newport County 2-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Newport County on Sep 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Town score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Newport County | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swindon Town sit 13th in League Two (19 points from 14 matches) and Newport County sit 14th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
A question about Swindon Town vs Newport County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swindon Town vs Newport County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Swindon Town vs Newport County played?
- Swindon Town vs Newport County is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The County Ground, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.