Rotor Volgograd vs FC Sochi: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
The Footlab model makes Rotor Volgograd the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FC Sochi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs FC Sochi?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Rotor Volgograd (1,841) and FC Sochi (1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotor Volgograd have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FC Sochi have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rotor Volgograd win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 FC Sochi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025 | FC Sochi 1-1 Rotor Volgograd | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Rotor Volgograd 1-1 FC Sochi | First League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | FC Sochi 0-0 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| May 7, 2021 | FC Sochi 2-1 Rotor Volgograd | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Rotor Volgograd 1-2 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Nov 14, 2018 | FC Sochi 4-2 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
Last archived meeting: FC Sochi vs Rotor Volgograd on Feb 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Rotor Volgograd score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Sochi score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotor Volgograd | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Sochi | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotor Volgograd sit 10th in First League (10 points from 8 matches) and FC Sochi sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sochi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotor Volgograd vs FC Sochi?
- The Footlab model makes Rotor Volgograd the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FC Sochi.
- Where and when is Rotor Volgograd vs FC Sochi played?
- Rotor Volgograd vs FC Sochi is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Volgograd Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.