FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)BetBoom Аrena, Ufa
The Footlab AI model makes FC UFA the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Arsenal Tula. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC UFA wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
On Elo ratings, FC UFA has 1,780 points and Arsenal Tula 1,748.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC UFA
4-4-2- 88M. Ageyan
- 70D. Ortíz
- 8S. Isaev
- 6Z. Tarba
- 9D. Lipovoy
- 11M. Yakuev
- 14I. Agapov
- 2V. Cherov
- 43A. Gilyazetdinov
- 5D. Kutin
- 31A. Belenov
Arsenal Tula
3-4-1-2- 19N. Glushkov
- 11R. Magomedov
- 77D. Plotnikov
- 25A. Biryukov
- 35I. Enin
- 21N. Razdorskikh
- 14M. Brnović
- 4D. Penchikov
- 82A. Alekhin
- 44O. Isaenko
- 42A. Melikhov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC UFA have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Arsenal Tula have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC UFA wins, 2 draws, 4 Arsenal Tula wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | FC UFA 1-2 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Arsenal Tula 2-2 FC UFA | First League |
| May 18, 2025 | FC UFA 1-2 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Arsenal Tula 0-0 FC UFA | First League |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Arsenal Tula 2-1 FC UFA | First League |
| Sep 2, 2022 | FC UFA 0-2 Arsenal Tula | First League |
Last archived meeting: FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula on Nov 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Tula score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Arsenal Tula | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC UFA sit 9th in First League (18 points from 13 matches) and Arsenal Tula sit 10th (16 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC UFA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 16 |
A question about FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC UFA the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Arsenal Tula.
- Where and when is FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula played?
- FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at BetBoom Аrena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.