Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tekstilshchik, Ivanovo
The Footlab model makes Tekstilshchik the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Chelyabinsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Tekstilshchik (1,800) and Chelyabinsk (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tekstilshchik have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chelyabinsk have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-4 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Tekstilshchik win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Chelyabinsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | Tekstilshchik 1-2 Chelyabinsk | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Chelyabinsk 3-3 Tekstilshchik | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Tekstilshchik 0-0 Chelyabinsk | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Chelyabinsk 1-1 Tekstilshchik | Second League A - Division A Silver |
Last archived meeting: Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk on Nov 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tekstilshchik score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chelyabinsk score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tekstilshchik | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Chelyabinsk | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tekstilshchik sit 15th in First League (6 points from 8 matches) and Chelyabinsk sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Chelyabinsk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 15 | Tekstilshchik | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?
- The Footlab model makes Tekstilshchik the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Chelyabinsk.
- Where and when is Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk played?
- Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tekstilshchik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.