Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tekstilshchik, Ivanovo
The Footlab AI model makes Tekstilshchik the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Chelyabinsk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tekstilshchik wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Tekstilshchik (1,757) and Chelyabinsk (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tekstilshchik
4-1-4-1- 83N. Ishchenko
- 7A. Dzhebov
- 30D. Simonov
- 46N. Pershin
- 21D. Ivanisenya
- 30D. Simonov
- 2A. Gapechkin
- 74E. Guziev
- 23D. Ivannikov
- 3D. Marugin
- 58S. Fadeev
Chelyabinsk
4-2-3-1- 7I. Safronov
- 55G. Borisov
- 29M. Urvantsev
- 18K. Kertanov
- 6S. Makarov
- 77D. Samoylov
- 15K. Kochiev
- 21A. Berdnikov
- 50V. Lystsov
- 24N. Pridava
- 93I. Tuseev
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tekstilshchik have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Chelyabinsk have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 4-2 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Tekstilshchik wins, 3 draws, 1 Chelyabinsk win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | Tekstilshchik 1-2 Chelyabinsk | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Chelyabinsk 3-3 Tekstilshchik | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Tekstilshchik 0-0 Chelyabinsk | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Chelyabinsk 1-1 Tekstilshchik | Second League A - Division A Silver |
Last archived meeting: Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk on Nov 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tekstilshchik score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chelyabinsk score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tekstilshchik | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Chelyabinsk | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tekstilshchik sit 18th in First League (7 points from 13 matches) and Chelyabinsk sit 12th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 15 |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tekstilshchik the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Chelyabinsk.
- Where and when is Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk played?
- Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tekstilshchik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.