Rovato Vertovese vs Fiorenzuola: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Fiorenzuola. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rovato Vertovese vs Fiorenzuola?
Rovato Vertovese starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rovato Vertovese have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Fiorenzuola have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Imolese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sangiuliano City(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2025 | Prato(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Lentigione(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Ravenna(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Rovato Vertovese score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorenzuola score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rovato Vertovese | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Fiorenzuola | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rovato Vertovese vs Fiorenzuola?
- The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Fiorenzuola.
- Where and when is Rovato Vertovese vs Fiorenzuola played?
- Rovato Vertovese vs Fiorenzuola is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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