Match

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Rossoni, Ciserano

Virtus Ciserano BergamoTritium

The Footlab model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium?

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,692 vs 1,546).

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win45 %
Draw28 %
Tritium win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Tritium have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Castellanzese(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Pavia(away)0-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Vogherese(home)6-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Villa Valle(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Varesina(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Tritium
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 5, 2024Pro Palazzolo(home)2-4Serie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024Club Milano(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024Desenzano Calvina(home)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 14, 2024Caravaggio(away)2-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 7, 2024Arconatese(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tritium win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2024Tritium 0-2 Virtus Ciserano BergamoSerie D - Girone B
Nov 5, 2023Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-0 TritiumSerie D - Girone B
Nov 10, 2019Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0-1 TritiumSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo on Mar 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0.91.147/154/15
Tritium0.71.625/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Virtus Ciserano Bergamo34111310333146

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium?
The Footlab model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tritium.
Where and when is Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium played?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Rossoni, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo and Tritium

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