Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Rossoni, Ciserano
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Ciserano Bergamo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,696 vs 1,530).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Not enough data to predict the Virtus Ciserano Bergamo lineup.
Tritium
Not enough data to predict the Tritium lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Tritium have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nibbiano & Valtidone(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Chievo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Villa Valle(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chievo(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo wins, 0 draws, 1 Tritium win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | Tritium 0-2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-0 Tritium | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0-1 Tritium | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo on Mar 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tritium score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Tritium | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo sit 8th in Serie D - Girone B (9 points from 7 matches) and Tritium sit 18th (2 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Tritium | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 2 |
A question about Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Tritium.
- Where and when is Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium played?
- Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Rossoni, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027ChievovsLeon Monza e Brianza
- Feb 28, 2027PiacenzavsPro Palazzolo
- Feb 28, 2027Virtus VeronavsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Feb 28, 2027BrusaportovsCaldiero Terme
- Feb 28, 2027Villa VallevsScanzorosciate
- Feb 28, 2027Club MilanovsMilan II
- Feb 28, 2027Rovato VertovesevsFiorenzuola
- Feb 28, 2027PavonesevsReal Calepina