Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Rossoni, Ciserano
The Footlab model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,692 vs 1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Tritium have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villa Valle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Club Milano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Caravaggio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Arconatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tritium win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | Tritium 0-2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-0 Tritium | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0-1 Tritium | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo on Mar 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Tritium | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium?
- The Footlab model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tritium.
- Where and when is Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium played?
- Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Tritium is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Rossoni, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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