Match

Pavonese vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

PavoneseReal Calepina

The Footlab model makes Pavonese the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pavonese vs Real Calepina?

Pavonese win41 %
Draw27 %
Real Calepina win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Real Calepina have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Calepina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Scanzorosciate(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Sondrio(away)1-5Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Folgore Caratese(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Breno(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026Milan II(home)1-0Serie D - Girone B

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Real Calepina3411914424742

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Real Calepina?
The Footlab model makes Pavonese the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Real Calepina.
Where and when is Pavonese vs Real Calepina played?
Pavonese vs Real Calepina is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pavonese and Real Calepina

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