Pavonese vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Calepina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,824 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavonese vs Real Calepina?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Pavonese (1,710) and Real Calepina (1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pavonese vs Real Calepina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pavonese
Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.
Real Calepina
Not enough data to predict the Real Calepina lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 06:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Real Calepina have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Calepina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pavonese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Club Milano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Pavonese wins, 1 draw, 0 Real Calepina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Calepina 1-1 Pavonese | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Real Calepina vs Pavonese on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pavonese score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 9; Real Calepina score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavonese | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 5/9 | 3/9 |
| Real Calepina | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavonese sit 10th in Serie D - Girone B (11 points from 8 matches) and Real Calepina sit 8th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Real Calepina | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 10 | Pavonese | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Pavonese vs Real Calepina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Real Calepina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Pavonese vs Real Calepina played?
- Pavonese vs Real Calepina is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027ChievovsLeon Monza e Brianza
- Feb 28, 2027PiacenzavsPro Palazzolo
- Feb 28, 2027Virtus VeronavsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Feb 28, 2027BrusaportovsCaldiero Terme
- Feb 28, 2027Villa VallevsScanzorosciate
- Feb 28, 2027Virtus Ciserano BergamovsTritium
- Feb 28, 2027Club MilanovsMilan II
- Feb 28, 2027Rovato VertovesevsFiorenzuola