Villa Valle vs Rovato Vertovese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B · Matchday 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè
The Footlab AI model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Rovato Vertovese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villa Valle wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,580 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Valle vs Rovato Vertovese?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Villa Valle (1,736) and Rovato Vertovese (1,730).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villa Valle vs Rovato Vertovese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villa Valle
Not enough data to predict the Villa Valle lineup.
Rovato Vertovese
Not enough data to predict the Rovato Vertovese lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Rovato Vertovese have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milan II(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Valle score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rovato Vertovese score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Valle | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Rovato Vertovese | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Valle sit 7th in Serie D - Girone B (17 points from 11 matches) and Rovato Vertovese sit 14th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Villa Valle | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 17 |
| 14 | Rovato Vertovese | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 10 |
A question about Villa Valle vs Rovato Vertovese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Rovato Vertovese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Rovato Vertovese.
- Where and when is Villa Valle vs Rovato Vertovese played?
- Villa Valle vs Rovato Vertovese is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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