Where and when is Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina played?

Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Rovato Vertovese

Real Calepina

The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Rovato Vertovese (1,752) and Real Calepina (1,689).

Rovato Vertovese win47 %

Draw27 %

Real Calepina win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rovato Vertovese have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Real Calepina have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rovato Vertovese
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Ospitaletto(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Imolese(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026	Sangiuliano City(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026	Sasso Marconi Zola(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026	Cittadella Vis Modena(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone D

Real Calepina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Scanzorosciate(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026	Sondrio(away)	1-5	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026	Folgore Caratese(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Breno(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026	Milan II(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Rovato Vertovese score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Rovato Vertovese	1.1	0.7	7	6/15	4/15
Real Calepina	1.1	1.2	5	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Real Calepina	34	11	9	14	42	47	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?: The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Real Calepina.
Where and when is Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina played?: Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.