Chievo vs Tritium: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chievo vs Tritium?
Chievo starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chievo have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Tritium have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 10, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Club Milano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Caravaggio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Arconatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Chievo score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tritium | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chievo vs Tritium?
- The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Tritium.
- Where and when is Chievo vs Tritium played?
- Chievo vs Tritium is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 4, 2026BrusaportovsPro Palazzolo
- Oct 4, 2026Villa VallevsFiorenzuola
- Oct 4, 2026Virtus Ciserano BergamovsVirtus Verona
- Oct 4, 2026Caldiero TermevsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Oct 4, 2026Club MilanovsLeon Monza e Brianza
- Oct 4, 2026Rovato VertovesevsReal Calepina
- Oct 4, 2026PavonesevsMilan II