Match

Chievo vs Tritium: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona

ChievoTritium

The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chievo vs Tritium?

Chievo starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,546).

Chievo win57 %
Draw23 %
Tritium win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chievo have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Tritium have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chievo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026USD Casatese(away)3-2Serie D - Girone B
May 10, 2026Milan II(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026Pavia(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Castellanzese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Tritium
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 5, 2024Pro Palazzolo(home)2-4Serie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024Club Milano(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024Desenzano Calvina(home)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 14, 2024Caravaggio(away)2-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 7, 2024Arconatese(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Chievo score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chievo1.71.549/1510/15
Tritium0.71.625/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Chievo3418610524360

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chievo vs Tritium?
The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Tritium.
Where and when is Chievo vs Tritium played?
Chievo vs Tritium is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chievo and Tritium

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