Pavonese vs Milan II: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavonese vs Milan II?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Milan II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chievo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 10-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Milan II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62 | 37 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Milan II?
- The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Pavonese vs Milan II played?
- Pavonese vs Milan II is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 4, 2026ChievovsTritium
- Oct 4, 2026PiacenzavsScanzorosciate
- Oct 4, 2026BrusaportovsPro Palazzolo
- Oct 4, 2026Villa VallevsFiorenzuola
- Oct 4, 2026Virtus Ciserano BergamovsVirtus Verona
- Oct 4, 2026Caldiero TermevsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Oct 4, 2026Club MilanovsLeon Monza e Brianza
- Oct 4, 2026Rovato VertovesevsReal Calepina