Pavonese vs Milan II: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 6Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Milan II the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Milan II wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavonese vs Milan II?
On Elo ratings, Pavonese has 1,684 points and Milan II 1,770.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pavonese vs Milan II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pavonese
Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.
Milan II
Not enough data to predict the Milan II lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Milan II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Chievo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villa Valle(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pavonese score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 7; Milan II score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavonese | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| Milan II | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavonese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone B (7 points from 6 matches) and Milan II sit 9th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Milan II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Pavonese vs Milan II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Milan II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Milan II the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Pavonese vs Milan II played?
- Pavonese vs Milan II is played on October 21, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Chievo5-0Tritium
- Oct 4, 2026Piacenza4-0Scanzorosciate
- Oct 4, 2026Brusaporto0-1Pro Palazzolo
- Oct 4, 2026Villa Valle0-0Fiorenzuola
- Oct 4, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo3-0Virtus Verona
- Oct 4, 2026Caldiero Terme1-0Nibbiano & Valtidone
- Oct 4, 2026Club Milano1-2Leon Monza e Brianza
- Oct 4, 2026Rovato Vertovese0-1Real Calepina