Where and when is Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola played?

Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè

Villa Valle

Fiorenzuola

The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Fiorenzuola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?

Villa Valle starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,688 vs 1,548).

Villa Valle win53 %

Draw26 %

Fiorenzuola win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Fiorenzuola have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villa Valle
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Breno(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026	Oltrepò(home)	1-3	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026	Caldiero Terme(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026	Milan II(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B

Fiorenzuola
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Brusaporto(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 4, 2025	Prato(home)	3-0	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 27, 2025	Tuttocuoio(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 17, 2025	Lentigione(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 13, 2025	Ravenna(away)	0-3	Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorenzuola score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Villa Valle	1.0	1.4	3	10/15	6/15
Fiorenzuola	0.7	1.3	4	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Villa Valle	34	13	8	13	43	46	47

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?: The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Fiorenzuola.
Where and when is Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola played?: Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.