Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ak Bars Arena, Kazan'
The Footlab model makes Rubin the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Krylia Sovetov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Rubin (1,929) and Krylia Sovetov (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubin have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Krylia Sovetov have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 0-5 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Akron(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rubin win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Krylia Sovetov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rubin 2-0 Krylia Sovetov | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov 0-0 Rubin | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Rubin 2-0 Krylia Sovetov | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Krylia Sovetov 1-1 Rubin | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Rubin 0-2 Krylia Sovetov | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Rubin 2-2 Krylia Sovetov | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rubin score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Krylia Sovetov score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rubin sit 8th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Krylia Sovetov sit 11th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rubin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov?
- The Footlab model makes Rubin the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Krylia Sovetov.
- Where and when is Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov played?
- Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ak Bars Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.