FC Krasnodar vs Baltika: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar
The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Baltika. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
FC Krasnodar starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (2,096 vs 1,981).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Krasnodar vs Baltika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Krasnodar
4-3-3- 11Batxi
- 9J. Córdoba
- 47D. Utkin
- 53A. Chernikov
- 8Douglas Augusto
- 18Christian
- 3Vítor Tormena
- 5Jubal
- 15L. Olaza
- 17V. Paltsev
- 1S. Agkatsev
Baltika
5-4-1- 91B. Gil
- 73M. Petrov
- 8A. Mendel
- 10I. Petrov
- 7K. Shiltsov
- 2S. Varatynov
- 22M. Beveev
- 4N. Gassama
- 24L. Mouyokolo
- 21E. Anderson
- 1E. Latyshonok
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Krasnodar have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Baltika have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 FC Krasnodar win, 4 draws, 0 Baltika wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | FC Krasnodar 1-1 Baltika | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2026 | FC Krasnodar 2-2 Baltika | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Baltika 1-1 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2024 | FC Krasnodar 3-2 Baltika | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Baltika 2-2 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: FC Krasnodar vs Baltika on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Krasnodar score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Baltika score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Baltika | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Krasnodar sit 4th in Premier League (21 points from 10 matches) and Baltika sit 8th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
| 8 | Baltika | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
A question about FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Baltika.
- Where and when is FC Krasnodar vs Baltika played?
- FC Krasnodar vs Baltika is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Krasnodar, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.