FC Krasnodar vs Baltika: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar
The Footlab model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Baltika. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
FC Krasnodar starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (2,154 vs 1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Krasnodar have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Baltika have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 FC Krasnodar win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Baltika win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | FC Krasnodar 1-1 Baltika | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2026 | FC Krasnodar 2-2 Baltika | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Baltika 1-1 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2024 | FC Krasnodar 3-2 Baltika | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Baltika 2-2 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: FC Krasnodar vs Baltika on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Krasnodar score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Baltika score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Baltika | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Krasnodar sit 1st in Premier League (15 points from 5 matches) and Baltika sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Krasnodar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Baltika | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
- The Footlab model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Baltika.
- Where and when is FC Krasnodar vs Baltika played?
- FC Krasnodar vs Baltika is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Krasnodar, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.