Match

Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Ruch ChorzówStal Mielec

The Footlab AI model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ruch Chorzów wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,387 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec?

On Elo ratings, Ruch Chorzów has 1,835 points and Stal Mielec 1,744.

53%25%22%
Ruch Chorzów winDrawStal Mielec win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ruch Chorzów

4-3-3
  1. 21P. Szwedzik
  2. 95D. Szczepan
  3. 10E. Sutherland
  1. 7J. Křišťan
  2. 20S. Szymański
  3. 6M. Chrapek
  1. 3Abraham del Moral
  2. 17A. Lukić
  3. 28N. Lesniak-Paduch
  4. 15M. Konczkowski
  1. 44J. Wrąbel

Stal Mielec

4-4-1-1
  1. 78K. Cybulski
  1. 32F. Gerbowski
  2. 7M. Cebula
  3. 18P. Wlazło
  4. 19T. Gmur
  5. 23K. Getinger
  1. 44Israel Puerto
  2. 14K. Kościelny
  3. 94B. Kwiecień
  4. 5H. Matynia
  1. 99M. Gostomski

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:27 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Stal Mielec have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ruch Chorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Stal Mielec(away)0-2I Liga
Nov 3, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)1-1I Liga
Oct 28, 2026Znicz Pruszków(away)1-0Cup
Oct 25, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-0I Liga
Oct 16, 2026Odra Opole(home)3-0I Liga
Stal Mielec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)2-0I Liga
Oct 30, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-0I Liga
Oct 24, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)0-0I Liga
Oct 17, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)0-3I Liga
Oct 11, 2026Warta Poznań(home)2-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ruch Chorzów win, 2 draws, 2 Stal Mielec wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Stal Mielec 2-0 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
Mar 14, 2026Ruch Chorzów 2-1 Stal MielecI Liga
Aug 31, 2025Stal Mielec 2-2 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
Mar 10, 2024Stal Mielec 3-1 Ruch ChorzówEkstraklasa
Sep 1, 2023Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Stal MielecEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów on Nov 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ruch Chorzów score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Mielec score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ruch Chorzów1.40.985/154/15
Stal Mielec1.52.039/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ruch Chorzów sit 5th in I Liga (22 points from 14 matches) and Stal Mielec sit 11th (19 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Ruch Chorzów14644171422
11Stal Mielec14545192719

A question about Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec?
The Footlab AI model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec played?
Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ruch Chorzów and Stal Mielec

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