Match

Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec

Stal MielecRuch Chorzów

The Footlab AI model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ruch Chorzów wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,542 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?

Ruch Chorzów starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,865 vs 1,739).

27%27%46%
Stal Mielec winDrawRuch Chorzów win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stal Mielec

4-4-1-1
  1. 78K. Cybulski
  1. 32F. Gerbowski
  2. 7M. Cebula
  3. 18P. Wlazło
  4. 19T. Gmur
  5. 23K. Getinger
  1. 44Israel Puerto
  2. 5H. Matynia
  3. 14K. Kościelny
  4. 38Michael Wyparlo
  1. 99M. Gostomski

Ruch Chorzów

4-3-3
  1. 21P. Szwedzik
  2. 95D. Szczepan
  3. 10E. Sutherland
  1. 7J. Křišťan
  2. 20S. Szymański
  3. 6M. Chrapek
  1. 3Abraham del Moral
  2. 17A. Lukić
  3. 28N. Lesniak-Paduch
  4. 15M. Konczkowski
  1. 44J. Wrąbel

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:42 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Mielec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-0I Liga
Oct 24, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)0-0I Liga
Oct 17, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)0-3I Liga
Oct 11, 2026Warta Poznań(home)2-1I Liga
Sep 19, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)1-7I Liga
Ruch Chorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)1-1I Liga
Oct 28, 2026Znicz Pruszków(away)1-0Cup
Oct 25, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-0I Liga
Oct 16, 2026Odra Opole(home)3-0I Liga
Oct 11, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)2-0I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Stal Mielec win, 2 draws, 1 Ruch Chorzów win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Ruch Chorzów 2-1 Stal MielecI Liga
Aug 31, 2025Stal Mielec 2-2 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
Mar 10, 2024Stal Mielec 3-1 Ruch ChorzówEkstraklasa
Sep 1, 2023Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Stal MielecEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Mielec score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stal Mielec1.42.3210/1510/15
Ruch Chorzów1.40.985/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Mielec sit 12th in I Liga (16 points from 13 matches) and Ruch Chorzów sit 1st (22 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Ruch Chorzów13643171222
12Stal Mielec13445172716

A question about Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?
The Footlab AI model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów played?
Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów is played on November 8, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stal Mielec and Ruch Chorzów

Ready to know everything about football?