Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Arka Gdynia played?

Podbeskidzie vs Arka Gdynia is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Podbeskidzie vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała

Podbeskidzie

Arka Gdynia

The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Arka Gdynia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Arka Gdynia?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Podbeskidzie (1,952) and Arka Gdynia (1,900).

Podbeskidzie win48 %

Draw25 %

Arka Gdynia win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podbeskidzie
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Opole(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Hutnik Kraków(home)	2-0	Cup
Aug 2, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	3-3	I Liga

Arka Gdynia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Miedz Legnica(away)	0-2	I Liga
Aug 17, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	3-0	I Liga
Aug 10, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	0-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	4-0	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Podbeskidzie win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Arka Gdynia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2024	Podbeskidzie 0-0 Arka Gdynia	I Liga
Nov 4, 2023	Arka Gdynia 1-0 Podbeskidzie	I Liga
Nov 12, 2022	Arka Gdynia 2-2 Podbeskidzie	I Liga
Jul 17, 2022	Podbeskidzie 0-1 Arka Gdynia	I Liga
May 13, 2022	Podbeskidzie 1-1 Arka Gdynia	I Liga
Nov 5, 2021	Arka Gdynia 1-0 Podbeskidzie	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Podbeskidzie vs Arka Gdynia on May 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Podbeskidzie	1.8	1.1	3	12/15	8/15
Arka Gdynia	1.2	1.5	6	4/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Arka Gdynia sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Arka Gdynia	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
13	Podbeskidzie	5	0	5	0	8	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Arka Gdynia?: The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Arka Gdynia.
Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Arka Gdynia played?: Podbeskidzie vs Arka Gdynia is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.