Rudes vs HNK Rijeka: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Igralište NK Rudeš, Zagreb
The Footlab model makes HNK Rijeka the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Rudes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?
HNK Rijeka starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,998 vs 1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rudes have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; HNK Rijeka have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 4-1 | HNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 1-6 | HNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 1-2 | HNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Istra 1961(home) | 3-2 | HNL |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | NK Varazdin(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ilves(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rudes win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 HNK Rijeka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | HNK Rijeka 2-1 Rudes | HNL |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Rudes 0-3 HNK Rijeka | HNL |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Rudes 0-1 HNK Rijeka | Cup |
| Dec 16, 2023 | HNK Rijeka 3-0 Rudes | HNL |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Rudes 1-2 HNK Rijeka | HNL |
| Jul 22, 2023 | HNK Rijeka 4-0 Rudes | HNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Rudes score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Rijeka score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudes | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| HNK Rijeka | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rudes sit 9th in HNL (3 points from 4 matches) and HNK Rijeka sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Rudes | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?
- The Footlab model makes HNK Rijeka the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Rudes.
- Where and when is Rudes vs HNK Rijeka played?
- Rudes vs HNK Rijeka is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Igralište NK Rudeš, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.