NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Opus Arena, Osijek
The Footlab model makes NK Osijek the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for HNK Gorica. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate NK Osijek (1,872) and HNK Gorica (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Osijek have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; HNK Gorica have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 6-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 1-2 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NK Osijek win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 HNK Gorica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | HNK Gorica 0-2 NK Osijek | HNL |
| May 16, 2026 | HNK Gorica 2-0 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Mar 14, 2026 | NK Osijek 0-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Dec 13, 2025 | NK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Sep 28, 2025 | HNK Gorica 0-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Apr 19, 2025 | NK Osijek 0-1 HNK Gorica | HNL |
Last archived meeting: HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Osijek score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Gorica score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Osijek | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| HNK Gorica | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Osijek sit 2nd in HNL (9 points from 4 matches) and HNK Gorica sit 10th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NK Osijek | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?
- The Footlab model makes NK Osijek the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for HNK Gorica.
- Where and when is NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica played?
- NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Opus Arena, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.