NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
The Footlab model makes NK Lokomotiva Zagreb the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Istra 1961. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (1,890) and Istra 1961 (1,881).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Istra 1961 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 0-1 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 3-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 2-3 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(home) | 3-0 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 2-3 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Istra 1961 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Istra 1961 2-3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| Apr 11, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 Istra 1961 | HNL |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Istra 1961 1-1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| Oct 25, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 Istra 1961 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Istra 1961 2-2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| May 3, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 Istra 1961 | HNL |
Last archived meeting: Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Istra 1961 score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Istra 1961 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 6th in HNL (6 points from 4 matches) and Istra 1961 sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
- The Footlab model makes NK Lokomotiva Zagreb the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Istra 1961.
- Where and when is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 played?
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Maksimir, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.