NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Koprivnica
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for NK Slaven Belupo. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Dinamo Zagreb is a heavy favourite: 2,191 Elo points against 1,828, a 363-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Slaven Belupo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Dinamo Zagreb have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sesvete(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Viking(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 4-0 | HNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 NK Slaven Belupo win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Dinamo Zagreb win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| May 17, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 1-4 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Dec 14, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 2-5 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| May 10, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Slaven Belupo score 1.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Zagreb score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Slaven Belupo sit 8th in HNL (3 points from 4 matches) and Dinamo Zagreb sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for NK Slaven Belupo.
- Where and when is NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb played?
- NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.