Russia vs Croatia: result 2-2 and analysis
World CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 7, 2018 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
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What was the result of Russia vs Croatia?
Russia and Croatia drew 2-2 on July 7, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 31′D. CheryshevRussia
- 39′A. KramarićCroatia
- 100′D. VidaCroatia
- 115′M. FernandesRussia
- 120′I. RakitićCroatia (pen.)
- 120′D. KuzyaevRussia (pen.)
- 120′L. ModrićCroatia (pen.)
- 120′Sergei IgnashevichRussia (pen.)
- 120′A. DzagoevRussia (pen.)
- 120′M. BrozovićCroatia (pen.)
- 120′D. VidaCroatia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Russia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Croatia have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2018 | Spain(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 25, 2018 | Uruguay(away) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 19, 2018 | Egypt(home) | 3-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 14, 2018 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 5-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 5, 2018 | Türkiye(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2018 | Denmark(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 26, 2018 | Iceland(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2018 | Argentina(away) | 3-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2018 | Nigeria(home) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 8, 2018 | Senegal(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Russia score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Croatia | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Croatia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy