Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 14Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Memorial Playing Fields, Ruthin / Rhuthun, Denbighshire
The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?
Newtown AFC starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,675 vs 1,461).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ruthin Town
Not enough data to predict the Ruthin Town lineup.
Newtown AFC
Not enough data to predict the Newtown AFC lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruthin Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Newtown AFC have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Porthmadog(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 7-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ruthin Town wins, 0 draws, 2 Newtown AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ruthin Town 2-3 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Newtown AFC 3-0 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruthin Town score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Newtown AFC score 2.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthin Town | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Newtown AFC | 2.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruthin Town sit 14th in FAW Championship (12 points from 12 matches) and Newtown AFC sit 2nd (27 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 27 |
| 14 | Ruthin Town | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 12 |
A question about Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC played?
- Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Memorial Playing Fields, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.