Rhyl vs Holyhead Hotspur: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Educate Group Stadium, Y Rhyl / Rhyl, Denbighshire
The Footlab AI model makes Rhyl the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Holyhead Hotspur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rhyl wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,947 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rhyl vs Holyhead Hotspur?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Rhyl (1,643) and Holyhead Hotspur (1,583).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rhyl vs Holyhead Hotspur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rhyl
4-3-3- 9J. Parry
- 11A. Jones
- AAaron Hassall
- 8B. Lightfoot
- 7M. Murray
- 2B. Lawrence
- 5Mohamud Ali Mohamed
- 3B. Holmes
- 5R. Fairhurst
- RReece Fairhurst
- 1A. Swindell
Holyhead Hotspur
Not enough data to predict the Holyhead Hotspur lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rhyl have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Holyhead Hotspur have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Rhyl win, 0 draws, 1 Holyhead Hotspur win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Holyhead Hotspur 3-1 Rhyl | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Rhyl 4-3 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Holyhead Hotspur vs Rhyl on Dec 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Rhyl score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Holyhead Hotspur score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyl | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rhyl sit 11th in FAW Championship (11 points from 11 matches) and Holyhead Hotspur sit 14th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Rhyl vs Holyhead Hotspur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rhyl vs Holyhead Hotspur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rhyl the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Holyhead Hotspur.
- Where and when is Rhyl vs Holyhead Hotspur played?
- Rhyl vs Holyhead Hotspur is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Educate Group Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.