Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 14Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Central Park, Denbigh, Denbighshire
The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Denbigh Town. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Denbigh Town
Not enough data to predict the Denbigh Town lineup.
Mold Alexandra
Not enough data to predict the Mold Alexandra lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denbigh Town have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Denbigh Town wins, 1 draw, 3 Mold Alexandra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 2-1 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Denbigh Town 3-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Denbigh Town 1-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 2-1 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 2-0 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Denbigh Town 3-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Denbigh Town score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 2.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denbigh Town | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 2.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denbigh Town sit 12th in FAW Championship (10 points from 11 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 4th (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 21 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 10 |
A question about Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Denbigh Town.
- Where and when is Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Central Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.