Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 14Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Central Park, Denbigh, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Denbigh Town the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Mold Alexandra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Denbigh Town (1,583) and Mold Alexandra (1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denbigh Town have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bangor 1876(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Denbigh Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mold Alexandra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 2-1 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Denbigh Town 3-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Denbigh Town 1-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 2-1 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 2-0 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Denbigh Town 3-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Denbigh Town on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Denbigh Town score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denbigh Town | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denbigh Town sit 12th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab model makes Denbigh Town the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Mold Alexandra.
- Where and when is Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Central Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.