Ruthin Town vs Rhyl: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 11Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Memorial Playing Fields, Ruthin / Rhuthun, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Rhyl the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Rhyl?
Rhyl starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,619 vs 1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruthin Town have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Rhyl have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Porthmadog(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ruthin Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Rhyl win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Rhyl 3-2 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Ruthin Town 0-0 Rhyl | FAW Championship |
| Jul 14, 2023 | Rhyl 4-0 Ruthin Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Rhyl 0-2 Ruthin Town | Welsh Cup |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Ruthin Town 1-2 Rhyl | FAW Championship |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Rhyl 4-2 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ruthin Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rhyl score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthin Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Rhyl | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruthin Town sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Rhyl sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rhyl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Ruthin Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruthin Town vs Rhyl?
- The Footlab model makes Rhyl the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Ruthin Town vs Rhyl played?
- Ruthin Town vs Rhyl is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Memorial Playing Fields, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.