Rwanda vs Gabon: result 2-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 20, 2016 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Full time
What was the result of Rwanda vs Gabon?
Rwanda won 2-1 on January 20, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 42′Ernest SugiraRwanda
- 47′Ernest SugiraRwanda
- 55′A. BoupendzaGabon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rwanda have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Gabon have 6, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | Ivory Coast(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Dec 5, 2015 | Uganda(away) | 0-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 3, 2015 | Sudan(home) | 1-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 1, 2015 | Kenya(home) | 0-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 27, 2015 | Somalia(home) | 3-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | Morocco(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Mozambique(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 11, 2015 | Mozambique(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Chad(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Chad(away) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Rwanda score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gabon score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rwanda | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Gabon | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 2/14 | 2/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy