Səbail vs Mingəçevir: result 2-1 and analysis
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)ASCO Arena, Baku
Full time
What was the result of Səbail vs Mingəçevir?
Səbail won 2-1 on September 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 11′Yan Vasconcelos SaidSəbail
- 28′A. AğazadəSəbail
- 61′681505Mingəçevir
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Səbail win at 45%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Səbail have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Mingəçevir have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 22, 2026 | Mingəçevir(away) | 1-4 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 15, 2026 | Şahdağ(home) | 0-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 6, 2026 | Zaqatala(away) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(home) | 6-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 2-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 28, 2026 | Qabala(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 22, 2026 | Səbail(home) | 4-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 15, 2026 | MOIK(home) | 3-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 5, 2026 | Şahdağ(away) | 0-2 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Səbail wins, 0 draws, 1 Mingəçevir win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Mingəçevir 4-1 Səbail | Birinci Dasta |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Mingəçevir 0-1 Səbail | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Səbail 2-0 Mingəçevir | Birinci Dasta |
| Mar 3, 2017 | Səbail 3-0 Mingəçevir | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 4, 2016 | Mingəçevir 1-2 Səbail | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Səbail score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mingəçevir score 2.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Səbail | 1.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Mingəçevir | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Səbail sit 4th in Birinci Dasta (11 points from 6 matches) and Mingəçevir sit 8th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Səbail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Səbail vs Mingəçevir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy