Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Gonio: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Vitali Daraselias Sakhelobis Dinamos Sapekhburto Akademia, Tbilisi
The Footlab model makes Gonio the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Dinamo Tbilisi II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Gonio?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Dinamo Tbilisi II (1,313) and Gonio (1,389).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Tbilisi II have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Gonio have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 5-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Iberia 2010(home) | 4-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(away) | 3-2 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 1-5 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Skuri(away) | 4-3 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(away) | 0-4 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Meshakhte(home) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Dinamo Sokhumi(away) | 3-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Dinamo Tbilisi II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gonio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Gonio 2-0 Dinamo Tbilisi II | Liga 3 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Gonio 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi II | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi II 2-2 Gonio | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 15, 2025 | Gonio 3-1 Dinamo Tbilisi II | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi II 1-1 Gonio | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gonio vs Dinamo Tbilisi II on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Tbilisi II score 2.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gonio score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi II | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Gonio | 1.8 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Tbilisi II sit 9th in Liga 3 (27 points from 18 matches) and Gonio sit 4th (34 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gonio | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Gonio?
- The Footlab model makes Gonio the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Dinamo Tbilisi II.
- Where and when is Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Gonio played?
- Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Gonio is played on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Vitali Daraselias Sakhelobis Dinamos Sapekhburto Akademia, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.