Saburtalo vs Gagra: result 2-1 and analysis
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 8, 2022 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Teknikuri Tsentri, Rustavi
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What was the result of Saburtalo vs Gagra?
Saburtalo won 2-1 on October 8, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 9′S. MamatsashviliSaburtalo
- 52′T. MakatsariaGagra (pen.)
- 83′O. MamageishviliSaburtalo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saburtalo have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Gagra have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | Samgurali(away) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Telavi(away) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Merani Martvili(away) | 3-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(home) | 5-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 5, 2022 | Sioni(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | Dila(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 6, 2022 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 1, 2022 | Sioni(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Saburtalo win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gagra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2022 | Gagra 3-3 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 3, 2022 | Saburtalo 3-0 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 4, 2022 | Gagra 1-0 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Gagra 0-0 Saburtalo | David Kipiani Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Saburtalo score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gagra score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saburtalo | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Gagra | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saburtalo sit 3rd in Erovnuli Liga (34 points from 20 matches) and Gagra sit 8th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Saburtalo | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 34 |
| 8 | Gagra | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy