Where and when is Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City played?

Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Heart Health Park, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Heart Health Park, Sacramento, California

Sacramento Republic

Detroit City

The Footlab model makes Sacramento Republic the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Detroit City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Sacramento Republic (1,805) and Detroit City (1,813).

Sacramento Republic win39 %

Draw31 %

Detroit City win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sacramento Republic have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Detroit City have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sacramento Republic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phoenix Rising(home)	2-2	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Lexington(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026	FC Tulsa(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Sporting JAX(home)	5-0	USL Championship

Detroit City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tampa Bay Rowdies(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Loudoun United(home)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	FC Tulsa(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Miami FC(away)	2-2	USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(home)	0-1	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Sacramento Republic win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Detroit City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 27, 2024	Detroit City 0-1 Sacramento Republic	USL Championship
Apr 23, 2023	Sacramento Republic 1-0 Detroit City	USL Championship
Jun 11, 2022	Detroit City 0-2 Sacramento Republic	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Detroit City vs Sacramento Republic on Jul 27, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Sacramento Republic score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Detroit City score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sacramento Republic	1.2	0.9	5	6/15	5/15
Detroit City	1.3	0.8	6	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sacramento Republic sit 6th in USL Championship (16 points from 11 matches) and Detroit City sit 2nd (21 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Detroit City	13	6	3	4	19	13	21
2	Detroit City	20	10	5	5	27	17	35
6	Sacramento Republic	11	4	4	3	13	11	16
6	Sacramento Republic	20	8	7	5	27	18	31

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City?: The Footlab model makes Sacramento Republic the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Detroit City.
Where and when is Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City played?: Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Heart Health Park, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.