Sagaing United vs Dagon: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Dagon the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Sagaing United. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagaing United vs Dagon?
Dagon starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,344 vs 1,236).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sagaing United vs Dagon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sagaing United
Not enough data to predict the Sagaing United lineup.
Dagon
Not enough data to predict the Dagon lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagaing United have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Dagon have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | GFA(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | I.S.P.E(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Yangon United(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Ayeyawady United(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Shan United(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | I.S.P.E(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ayeyawady United(away) | 5-0 | National League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hantharwady United(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Yangon United(away) | 0-4 | National League |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Thitsar Arman(away) | 2-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sagaing United win, 2 draws, 3 Dagon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Dagon 1-0 Sagaing United | National League |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Dagon 2-2 Sagaing United | National League |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Dagon 0-1 Sagaing United | National League |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Sagaing United 0-3 Dagon | National League |
| Aug 3, 2023 | Sagaing United 0-0 Dagon | National League |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Dagon 4-0 Sagaing United | National League |
Last archived meeting: Dagon vs Sagaing United on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sagaing United score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dagon score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagaing United | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Dagon | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagaing United sit 7th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and Dagon sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Sagaing United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
A question about Sagaing United vs Dagon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagaing United vs Dagon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dagon the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Sagaing United.
- Where and when is Sagaing United vs Dagon played?
- Sagaing United vs Dagon is played on October 18, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC), in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.