Match

Sagamihara vs Nara Club: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara

SagamiharaNara Club

The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Nara Club. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sagamihara vs Nara Club?

Sagamihara starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,664).

Sagamihara win57 %
Draw22 %
Nara Club win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Nara Club have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kanazawa(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 15, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)4-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)3-0J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026Fujieda MYFC(home)4-3J2/J3 League
Nara Club
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)3-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Osaka(home)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-3J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Ehime FC(away)1-4J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)2-0J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sagamihara win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Nara Club win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 24, 2025Nara Club 2-1 SagamiharaJ3 League
Mar 15, 2025Sagamihara 1-1 Nara ClubJ3 League
Nov 10, 2024Sagamihara 1-2 Nara ClubJ3 League
Jun 8, 2024Nara Club 2-1 SagamiharaJ3 League
Nov 18, 2023Nara Club 2-1 SagamiharaJ3 League
Jul 15, 2023Sagamihara 3-2 Nara ClubJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Nara Club vs Sagamihara on Nov 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sagamihara1.81.568/158/15
Nara Club1.71.9212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Nara Club sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sagamihara3210627
14Nara Club3102583

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Nara Club?
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Nara Club.
Where and when is Sagamihara vs Nara Club played?
Sagamihara vs Nara Club is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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