Match

Parceiro Nagano vs Osaka: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano

Parceiro NaganoOsaka

The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Osaka?

Osaka starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,597).

Parceiro Nagano win28 %
Draw28 %
Osaka win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Osaka have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Parceiro Nagano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-6Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(away)1-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Fukui United(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Osaka(away)2-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)1-0J3 League
Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)1-2Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Nara Club(away)4-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)4-2J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)1-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Osaka win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Osaka 4-2 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Nov 10, 2025Osaka 3-0 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Jul 6, 2025Parceiro Nagano 0-0 OsakaJ3 League
Sep 7, 2024Parceiro Nagano 0-2 OsakaJ3 League
Feb 25, 2024Osaka 2-1 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Oct 22, 2023Parceiro Nagano 0-2 OsakaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Osaka vs Parceiro Nagano on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Parceiro Nagano score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Parceiro Nagano0.81.475/156/15
Osaka1.61.5112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Osaka sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Parceiro Nagano3201446
7Osaka3120755

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Osaka?
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Osaka played?
Parceiro Nagano vs Osaka is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Parceiro Nagano and Osaka

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