Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?

Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya

Tochigi SC

Thespakusatsu Gunma

The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,729) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663).

Tochigi SC win54 %

Draw23 %

Thespakusatsu Gunma win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tochigi SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Urayasu(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	3-2	J3 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	1-4	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Tohoku Gakuin University(away)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Sagamihara(home)	1-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	0-1	J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tochigi SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Tochigi SC 5-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J2/J3 League
Mar 28, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-3 Tochigi SC	J2/J3 League
Aug 23, 2025	Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-1 Tochigi SC	J3 League
Jun 7, 2025	Tochigi SC 0-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J3 League
Oct 20, 2024	Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-0 Tochigi SC	J2 League
Jun 8, 2024	Tochigi SC 1-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tochigi SC	1.0	1.2	5	8/15	7/15
Thespakusatsu Gunma	1.7	1.9	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Tochigi SC	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
20	Thespakusatsu Gunma	3	0	0	3	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?: The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?: Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.