Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori
The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Gainare Tottori (1,694) and Roasso Kumamoto (1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainare Tottori have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gainare Tottori win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Roasso Kumamoto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori 2-2 Roasso Kumamoto | Emperor Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gainare Tottori 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Gainare Tottori | J2/J3 League |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Gainare Tottori 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Gainare Tottori 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gainare Tottori score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainare Tottori | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gainare Tottori sit 10th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto?
- The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Roasso Kumamoto.
- Where and when is Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto played?
- Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Axis Bird Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- May 15, 2027Ehime FCvsKanazawa
- May 15, 2027FC RyukyuvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- May 15, 2027Kagoshima UnitedvsRenofa Yamaguchi
- May 15, 2027Fukushima UnitedvsFC Gifu
- May 15, 2027Parceiro NaganovsOsaka
- May 15, 2027SagamiharavsNara Club
- May 15, 2027Biwako ShigavsKamatamare Sanuki