Saham vs Al-Nahda: prediction and stats
Professional LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:20 PM (UTC)Sohar Regional Sports Complex, Sohar
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nahda the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Saham. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,516 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saham vs Al-Nahda?
Al-Nahda starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,565 vs 1,345).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saham vs Al-Nahda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saham
4-3-3- 65Mohammed Al Ghassani
- 27Jil Bahia
- 77Badar Mohammed Sultan Al Jabri
- 8Nasser Sulaiman Abdullah Al Ali
- 21Abdoulaye Dieng
- 18Shihab Abdullah Mohammed Al Mamari
- 93Maksimilian Fomin
- 70Abdal Maain Issa Obaid Al Marzouqi
- 15Maadh Salim Muftah Al Khaldi
- 30Ahmed Al Biriki
- 23Sulaiman Al Breiki
Al-Nahda
4-2-3-1- 10Jameel Al Yahmadi
- 23Harib Al Saadi
- 24P. Boumal
- 9Mohammed Al Ghafri
- 20Blarin Audavy Kibama Maloula
- 8Mohammed Al Hinai
- 47Ahmed Al Kaabi
- 25Ghanim Al Habashi
- 11Amjad Al Harthi
- 3Ahmed Al Rawahi
- 88F. Al Rusheidi
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saham have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Al-Nahda have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sur(home) | 1-0 | Professional League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Al-Shabab(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Al Musannah(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al-Nahda(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Ibri(away) | 2-1 | Professional League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Faisaly(away) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sohar(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ibri(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Saham(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Saham wins, 3 draws, 1 Al-Nahda win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al-Nahda 1-1 Saham | FA Cup |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Saham 1-0 Al-Nahda | Professional League |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Al-Nahda 1-0 Saham | Professional League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Al-Nahda 1-1 Saham | FA Cup |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Al-Nahda 2-2 Saham | Professional League |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Saham 1-0 Al-Nahda | Sultan Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Saham score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nahda score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saham | 0.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Al-Nahda | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saham sit 2nd in Professional League (9 points from 4 matches) and Al-Nahda sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Saham | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Al-Nahda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Saham vs Al-Nahda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saham vs Al-Nahda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nahda the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Saham.
- Where and when is Saham vs Al-Nahda played?
- Saham vs Al-Nahda is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:20 PM (UTC) at Sohar Regional Sports Complex, in the Professional League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.