Al-Shabab vs Smail: prediction and stats
Professional LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 12:50 PM (UTC)Al-Seeb Stadium, Seeb
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Shabab the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Smail. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,532 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Shabab vs Smail?
Al-Shabab starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,309).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Shabab vs Smail
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Shabab
4-3-3- 17H. Al Rushadi
- 20Ahmed Al Riyami
- 35Y. Al Shabibi
- 6Yaseen Al Sheyadi
- 10K. Markneh
- 14Y. Saindou
- 3Mahmood Mabrook
- 19Y. Al Malki
- 2Yaqdhan Al Mushaifri
- 21H. Lwaliwa
- 26Ibrahim Al Mukhaini
Smail
Not enough data to predict the Smail lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Shabab have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Smail have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-3 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Saham(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al Musannah(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oman Club(away) | 2-0 | Professional League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al-Nahda(home) | 2-3 | Professional League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dhofar(away) | 2-2 | Professional League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Al Nasr(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Dhofar(home) | 5-5 | FA Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sur(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fanja(home) | 0-0 | Professional League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Al-Shabab win, 0 draws, 1 Smail win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Smail 0-7 Al-Shabab | Professional League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Al-Shabab 1-3 Smail | Professional League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Shabab score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Smail score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Shabab | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Smail | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Shabab sit 5th in Professional League (6 points from 3 matches) and Smail sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Shabab | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Smail | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Al-Shabab vs Smail?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Shabab vs Smail?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Shabab the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Smail.
- Where and when is Al-Shabab vs Smail played?
- Al-Shabab vs Smail is played on October 23, 2026 at 12:50 PM (UTC) at Al-Seeb Stadium, in the Professional League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.