Salford City vs Sunderland U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 1Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Peninsula Stadium, Salford, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Sunderland U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salford City vs Sunderland U21?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Salford City (1,850) and Sunderland U21 (1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salford City have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sunderland U21 have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 1-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | Burnley U21(home) | 1-2 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Manchester United U21(away) | 2-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Blackburn Rovers U21(home) | 4-2 | Premier League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Salford City score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford City | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sunderland U21 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salford City vs Sunderland U21?
- The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Sunderland U21.
- Where and when is Salford City vs Sunderland U21 played?
- Salford City vs Sunderland U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Peninsula Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.