Salgótarjáni BTC vs Tarpa: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 23Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Szojka Ferenc Stadion, Salgótarján
The Footlab model makes Salgótarjáni BTC the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salgótarjáni BTC vs Tarpa?
Tarpa starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,441 vs 1,317).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salgótarjáni BTC have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Tarpa have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mátészalka(home) | 0-2 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cigand SE(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tiszaújváros(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mátészalka(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gödöllő(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Emodi(away) | 1-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | DEAC(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eger(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Füzesabony(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Salgótarjáni BTC score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tarpa score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salgótarjáni BTC | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tarpa | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salgótarjáni BTC sit 14th in NB III - Northeast (3 points from 4 matches) and Tarpa sit 15th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salgótarjáni BTC vs Tarpa?
- The Footlab model makes Salgótarjáni BTC the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Salgótarjáni BTC vs Tarpa played?
- Salgótarjáni BTC vs Tarpa is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Szojka Ferenc Stadion, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.