Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Salyut Belgorod, Belgorod
The Footlab model makes Salyut-Belgorod the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Arsenal Tula II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II?
Salyut-Belgorod starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,718 vs 1,484).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salyut-Belgorod have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Arsenal Tula II have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotor-2(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orel(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kristall MEZ(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Shumbrat(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ryazan(home) | 0-5 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Salyut-Belgorod win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arsenal Tula II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Arsenal Tula II 0-4 Salyut-Belgorod | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Arsenal Tula II 2-3 Salyut-Belgorod | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Salyut-Belgorod 2-1 Arsenal Tula II | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Salyut-Belgorod 2-0 Arsenal Tula II | Second League - Group 3 |
| May 5, 2024 | Arsenal Tula II 4-1 Salyut-Belgorod | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Salyut-Belgorod 2-1 Arsenal Tula II | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Arsenal Tula II vs Salyut-Belgorod on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salyut-Belgorod score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Tula II score 1.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salyut-Belgorod | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Arsenal Tula II | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salyut-Belgorod sit 3rd in Second League - Group 3 (39 points from 20 matches) and Arsenal Tula II sit 14th (13 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Salyut-Belgorod | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 18 | 39 |
| 14 | Arsenal Tula II | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II?
- The Footlab model makes Salyut-Belgorod the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Arsenal Tula II.
- Where and when is Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II played?
- Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Salyut Belgorod, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.