Saturn Ramenskoye vs Avangard Kursk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Leon Arena, Ramenskoe
The Footlab model makes Saturn Ramenskoye the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Avangard Kursk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saturn Ramenskoye vs Avangard Kursk?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Saturn Ramenskoye (1,655) and Avangard Kursk (1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saturn Ramenskoye have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Avangard Kursk have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 6-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SKA Khabarovsk II(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Irtysh Omsk(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salyut-Belgorod(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shumbrat(home) | 4-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Metallurg Lipetsk(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zenit Penza(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kristall MEZ(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arsenal Tula II(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strogino(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Saturn Ramenskoye win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Avangard Kursk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Avangard Kursk 6-3 Saturn Ramenskoye | Second League - Group 3 |
| May 28, 2023 | Saturn Ramenskoye 2-4 Avangard Kursk | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Avangard Kursk 3-0 Saturn Ramenskoye | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Avangard Kursk 0-1 Saturn Ramenskoye | Second League - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Saturn Ramenskoye 5-0 Avangard Kursk | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Avangard Kursk vs Saturn Ramenskoye on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saturn Ramenskoye score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Avangard Kursk score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturn Ramenskoye | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Avangard Kursk | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saturn Ramenskoye sit 6th in Second League - Group 3 (34 points from 20 matches) and Avangard Kursk sit 8th (27 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Saturn Ramenskoye | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 30 | 34 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saturn Ramenskoye vs Avangard Kursk?
- The Footlab model makes Saturn Ramenskoye the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Avangard Kursk.
- Where and when is Saturn Ramenskoye vs Avangard Kursk played?
- Saturn Ramenskoye vs Avangard Kursk is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Leon Arena, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.